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Red37
504914.0
838710.3
300920.5
Blue30
74229.6
808712.5
664716.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33310102040506070803730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#14
20.50.5
14.214.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End9.1
red by 4.3
6647
#10
16.20.3
11.811.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Second
5049
#27
14.00.7
8.39.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End4.3
red by 1.5
8087
#35
12.50.3
9.69.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End5.6
Third
8387
#24
10.31.5
10.38.8
Auto3.3
Teleop1.5
End5.4
red by 0.7
7422
#42
9.60.4
8.07.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed