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Red56
441545.3
238330.8
871710.1
Blue76
742627.9
547226.3
138820.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions967640601201405676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.8
45.644.8
Auto12.1
Teleop20.0
End13.2
red by 17.4
7426
#11
27.90.0
27.827.8
Auto8.4
Teleop9.6
End9.8
Second
30.80.8
31.130.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End7.2
red by 4.5
26.30.0
26.226.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.8
End12.3
Third
8717
#29
10.10.9
11.010.1
Auto4.6
Teleop1.7
End3.9
blue by 10.1
1388
#17
20.20.0
20.120.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8