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Red114
418328.9
98748.8
99116.5
Blue92
699529.8
49828.2
585118.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10178406012014016011492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
48.80.4
48.248.6
Auto14.0
Teleop22.4
End12.4
red by 19.0
29.80.3
29.729.9
Auto8.2
Teleop8.1
End13.4
Second
4183
#18
28.90.4
28.228.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End11.2
red by 0.7
498
#4
28.20.3
28.128.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End7.3
Third
991
#31
16.50.4
15.816.2
Auto6.3
Teleop5.4
End4.8
blue by 1.9
5851
#21
18.40.3
18.318.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End9.0