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Red88
395022.7
279130.4
33313.3
Blue87
26324.4
317125.9
744418.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6772204060801001208887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.5
29.530.0
Auto8.1
Teleop16.9
End5.4
red by 4.6
25.90.4
25.425.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End6.2
Second
22.70.5
21.722.3
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End7.0
blue by 1.7
263
#23
24.40.4
23.924.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End12.6
Third
333
#19
13.30.5
12.412.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
blue by 5.0
7444
#18
18.30.4
17.918.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End8.0