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Red100
179628.3
146832.4
2717.4
Blue70
287223.7
51414.8
771714.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72542040608010012010070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.7
31.632.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End5.8
red by 8.7
2872
#14
23.70.1
23.623.7
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End2.6
Second
1796
#10
28.30.8
27.328.1
Auto9.2
Teleop17.7
End1.3
red by 13.5
7717
#15
14.80.1
14.614.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End3.9
Third
271
#38
7.40.7
6.57.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 7.4
514
#11
14.80.1
14.614.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.9
End3.1