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Red53
573626.9
260118.8
529811.5
Blue63
287515.2
52723.7
87397.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62512040801005363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.1
26.926.8
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End5.4
red by 3.2
527
#9
23.70.3
24.424.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End11.2
Second
18.80.1
18.818.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End7.9
red by 3.6
2875
#16
15.20.3
15.916.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Third
5298
#40
11.50.1
11.411.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End0.6
red by 3.6
8739
#29
7.90.4
8.79.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End1.0