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Red57
573626.9
260118.8
529811.5
Blue0
287515.2
52723.7
87397.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64520204080100120570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.0
27.327.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End5.4
red by 3.2
527
#9
23.71.1
24.823.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End11.2
Second
18.80.0
19.319.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End7.9
red by 3.6
2875
#16
15.21.1
16.315.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Third
5298
#40
11.50.0
12.011.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End0.6
red by 3.6
8739
#29
7.91.4
9.27.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End1.0