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Red8
69697.1
36247.2
6019.6
Blue73
146832.4
179628.3
4269.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166304080100120873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
601
#21
9.61.5
8.06.5
Auto5.0
Teleop1.7
End2.9
blue by 22.9
32.41.3
27.929.3
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End5.8
Second
3624
#36
7.20.9
5.74.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.7
blue by 21.1
1796
#10
28.32.2
18.020.2
Auto9.2
Teleop17.7
End1.3
Third
6969
#31
7.11.5
7.46.0
Auto1.6
Teleop3.5
End2.0
blue by 2.4
426
#27
9.52.2
7.19.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed78%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsMissed