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Red102
179628.3
69441.3
6019.6
Blue70
744418.3
146832.4
2717.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645220408010012010270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
41.32.9
31.934.8
Auto13.2
Teleop17.9
End10.3
red by 8.9
1468
#3Sur
32.40.3
29.329.5
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End5.8
Second
1796
#10Sur
28.34.8
20.225.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.7
End1.3
red by 10.0
7444
#18
18.30.3
15.916.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End8.0
Third
601
#21
9.64.8
6.511.3
Auto5.0
Teleop1.7
End2.9
red by 2.2
271
#38
7.40.3
5.05.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned70%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed