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Red42
28721.1
55992.8
69697.1
Blue41
286916.5
88410.2
529811.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383402060801004241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#13
21.10.0
21.521.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End9.7
red by 4.6
2869
#22
16.50.6
14.915.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End5.8
Second
6969
#31
7.10.1
4.64.6
Auto1.6
Teleop3.5
End2.0
blue by 4.4
5298
#40
11.51.0
11.212.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End0.6
Third
5599
#34
2.80.1
8.68.5
Auto0.6
Teleop1.0
End1.2
blue by 7.4
884
#30
10.21.0
6.07.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed