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Red47
287223.7
55992.8
286916.5
Blue62
179628.3
77598.1
51414.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4654204060801004762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#14
23.70.2
20.020.2
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End2.6
blue by 4.6
1796
#10
28.31.3
27.629.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.7
End1.3
Second
2869
#22
16.50.2
15.515.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End5.8
red by 1.8
514
#11
14.80.8
12.713.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Third
5599
#34
2.80.3
8.58.9
Auto0.6
Teleop1.0
End1.2
blue by 5.3
7759
#33
8.11.3
9.510.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed