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Red29
2717.4
69697.1
317125.9
Blue33
287515.2
51414.8
771810.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442902060801002933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.0
24.823.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End6.2
red by 10.7
2875
#16
15.20.3
13.613.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Second
271
#38
7.41.0
5.74.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 7.4
514
#11
14.80.3
11.111.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Third
6969
#31
7.11.6
9.07.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.5
End2.0
blue by 3.0
7718
#26
10.10.3
4.34.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed