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Red25
509913.0
73188.6
680613.7
Blue66
395022.7
81017.0
6019.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33500204060801002566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6806
#12
13.70.5
11.310.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End1.4
blue by 9.0
22.71.1
17.518.6
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End7.0
Second
5099
#25
13.00.5
11.210.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End3.4
blue by 4.0
810
#28
17.01.1
15.116.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End4.4
Third
7318
#35
8.60.9
10.69.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.5
End2.4
blue by 1.0
601
#21
9.61.9
12.314.2
Auto5.0
Teleop1.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned