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Red64
4269.5
744418.3
287223.7
Blue62
286916.5
26324.4
87397.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534302060806462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#14
23.70.8
20.221.0
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End2.6
blue by 0.6
263
#23
24.41.4
20.521.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End12.6
Second
7444
#18
18.30.8
17.718.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End8.0
red by 1.8
2869
#22
16.51.4
15.717.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End5.8
Third
426
#27
9.51.3
10.611.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End2.0
red by 1.6
8739
#29
7.92.3
5.27.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned