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Red40
17516.5
286916.5
744418.3
Blue67
51414.8
573626.9
680613.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445210203040607080904067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7444
#18
18.30.1
18.518.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End8.0
blue by 8.6
26.91.0
23.324.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End5.4
Second
2869
#22
16.50.1
17.016.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End5.8
red by 1.8
514
#11
14.81.0
13.214.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Third
1751
#41
6.50.2
6.76.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End1.4
blue by 7.2
6806
#12
13.71.0
11.412.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsEarned