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Red63
77598.1
771714.8
26324.4
Blue31
2717.4
6019.6
87119.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554102060801006331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#23
24.40.1
21.922.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End12.6
red by 5.3
871
#20
19.11.4
19.818.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End11.8
Second
7717
#15
14.80.2
16.416.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End3.9
red by 5.2
601
#21
9.61.5
13.111.6
Auto5.0
Teleop1.7
End2.9
Third
7759
#33
8.10.2
11.311.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End2.4
red by 0.7
271
#38
7.40.9
7.36.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed