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Red81
87049.7
680613.7
36247.2
Blue50
77598.1
73188.6
573626.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions683602060801001208150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#2
49.70.9
42.443.3
Auto10.7
Teleop31.7
End7.3
red by 22.8
26.90.6
20.921.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End5.4
Second
6806
#12
13.70.9
12.613.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End1.4
red by 5.1
7318
#35
8.60.9
8.89.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.5
End2.4
Third
3624
#36
7.20.9
4.95.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.7
blue by 0.9
7759
#33
8.10.9
7.98.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsEarned