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Red71
146832.4
771810.1
73188.6
Blue72
573626.9
88410.2
155411.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514402060801007172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.41.6
31.332.9
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End5.8
red by 5.6
26.91.4
24.325.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End5.4
Second
7718
#26
10.11.6
8.19.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End4.2
blue by 1.8
1554
#24
11.92.2
10.512.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End2.7
Third
7318
#35
8.62.7
7.510.1
Auto2.7
Teleop3.5
End2.4
blue by 1.6
884
#30
10.22.2
7.810.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsEarned