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Red50
52723.7
509913.0
771714.8
Blue40
279130.4
602412.8
69697.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535530405060705040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#9
23.70.0
22.422.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End11.2
blue by 6.7
30.41.0
30.329.3
Auto8.1
Teleop16.9
End5.4
Second
7717
#15
14.80.0
16.516.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End3.9
red by 2.0
6024
#39
12.81.0
14.113.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End3.8
Third
5099
#25
13.00.0
10.910.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End3.4
red by 5.9
6969
#31
7.11.6
6.95.3
Auto1.6
Teleop3.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsMissed