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Red56
771810.1
52723.7
4269.5
Blue60
28721.1
680613.7
744418.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4258020805660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#9
23.71.0
22.423.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End11.2
red by 2.6
287
#13
21.10.5
20.921.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End9.7
Second
7718
#26
10.11.0
9.710.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End4.2
blue by 8.2
7444
#18
18.30.5
17.518.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End8.0
Third
426
#27
9.51.4
9.510.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 4.3
6806
#12
13.70.5
13.914.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsMissed