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Red76
88410.2
287223.7
179628.3
Blue92
509913.0
33313.3
69441.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607140801001207692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#10
28.31.7
26.328.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.7
End1.3
blue by 13.0
694
#1
41.30.7
40.941.6
Auto13.2
Teleop17.9
End10.3
Second
2872
#14
23.71.2
22.523.7
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End2.6
red by 10.4
333
#19
13.30.7
11.812.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
Third
884
#30
10.21.7
8.510.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 2.8
5099
#25
13.00.7
12.313.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsEarned