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Red76
146825.9
263824.4
691110.3
Blue55
35815.3
234720.4
642316.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61552040801007655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.3
24.625.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.9
End5.0
red by 5.5
2347
#11
20.40.1
20.420.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End12.0
Second
24.40.3
23.123.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End7.6
red by 7.5
6423
#20
16.90.1
16.816.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End4.1
Third
6911
#35
10.30.4
8.99.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End2.3
blue by 5.0
358
#14
15.30.1
15.315.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.7