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Red21
35815.3
565913.4
54511.1
Blue40
216113.7
2812.8
287513.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3031102040502140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#14
15.30.5
11.110.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.7
red by 1.7
2161
#27
13.70.8
7.78.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End5.7
Second
5659
#16
13.40.8
9.78.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End4.1
blue by 0.2
2875
#26
13.60.8
11.612.4
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Third
545
#29
11.10.8
7.46.6
Auto4.4
Teleop2.7
End4.0
blue by 1.7
28
#12
12.80.5
9.510.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed