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Red23
287513.6
51411.1
573620.9
Blue25
501615.9
565913.4
509910.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473602060801001202325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.92.2
18.316.1
Auto7.3
Teleop9.9
End3.7
red by 5.0
5016
#10
15.91.2
14.112.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Second
2875
#26
13.62.2
12.410.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End1.5
red by 0.2
5659
#16
13.42.0
8.96.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End4.1
Third
514
#19
11.12.2
12.09.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
red by 0.5
5099
#33
10.62.0
12.310.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed