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Red34
15468.4
18038.7
32929.4
Blue34
53312.1
75669.9
35815.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383201020506070803434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#2
29.4
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End3.2
red by 14.0
358
#14
15.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Second
1803
#30
8.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End2.9
blue by 3.4
533
#21
12.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.7
End2.9
Third
1546
#17
8.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.5
blue by 1.5
7566
#34
9.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsEarned