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Red20
287513.6
509910.6
18038.7
Blue42
4965.0
287218.6
317124.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305502040801001202042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2875
#26
13.61.3
15.314.0
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End1.5
blue by 11.2
24.81.6
23.822.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End6.2
Second
5099
#33
10.61.3
8.16.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End2.3
blue by 8.0
2872
#18
18.61.6
14.412.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End3.9
Third
1803
#30
8.71.3
8.06.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End2.9
red by 3.7
496
#36
5.01.6
9.98.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed49%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsMissed