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Red43
216113.7
202710.7
602417.0
Blue56
146825.9
15468.4
501615.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364602060804356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#15
17.00.9
13.614.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End5.7
blue by 9.0
25.91.6
18.920.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.9
End5.0
Second
2161
#27
13.70.9
11.812.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End5.7
blue by 2.2
5016
#10
15.90.9
12.113.0
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Third
2027
#38
10.70.9
9.910.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End3.8
red by 2.3
1546
#17
8.41.6
10.912.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed