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Red39
146825.9
36244.9
509910.6
Blue43
263824.4
53312.1
54511.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4244102030506070803943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.1
22.822.8
Auto7.1
Teleop13.9
End5.0
red by 1.5
24.40.1
22.322.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End7.6
Second
5099
#33
10.60.1
9.99.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End2.3
blue by 1.5
533
#21
12.10.2
9.79.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.7
End2.9
Third
3624
#39
4.90.1
7.17.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.0
End-0.2
blue by 6.3
545
#29
11.10.1
9.59.6
Auto4.4
Teleop2.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsEarned48%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsMissed