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Red67
45677.8
263824.4
234720.4
Blue46
642316.9
287513.6
565913.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54470204060801006746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.9
22.423.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End7.6
red by 7.5
6423
#20
16.90.2
17.317.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End4.1
Second
2347
#11
20.41.0
19.220.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End12.0
red by 6.8
2875
#26
13.60.2
13.913.7
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Third
4567
#31
7.81.1
8.39.4
Auto0.5
Teleop4.5
End2.8
blue by 5.7
5659
#16
13.40.2
13.713.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed