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Red46
287218.6
691110.3
35815.3
Blue63
52721.3
501615.9
826712.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435620801004663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#18
18.60.3
18.819.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End3.9
blue by 2.7
527
#6
21.30.0
22.522.5
Auto6.6
Teleop5.6
End9.2
Second
358
#14
15.30.3
14.815.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.7
blue by 0.6
5016
#10
15.90.0
16.116.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Third
6911
#35
10.30.3
8.28.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End2.3
blue by 2.1
8267
#22
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed49%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed