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Red68
756714.5
445819.6
202710.7
Blue32
24879.0
509910.6
826712.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35270204060801006832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.62.1
16.418.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End5.7
red by 7.1
8267
#22
12.50.6
7.17.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End0.2
Second
7567
#13
14.53.1
7.410.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.8
End4.1
red by 3.9
5099
#33
10.60.6
11.712.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End2.3
Third
2027
#38
10.73.1
8.211.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End3.8
red by 1.7
2487
#37
9.00.6
7.88.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed