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Red65
26324.9
33319.2
750410.4
Blue58
36910.8
873915.6
39513.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613820806558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#14
24.90.2
24.925.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End11.0
red by 9.3
15.60.4
15.115.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.6
End3.3
Second
333
#4
19.20.2
19.319.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End10.6
red by 5.4
395
#17
13.80.5
13.313.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Third
7504
#35
10.40.3
10.510.7
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End3.5
blue by 0.4
369
#39
10.80.5
10.210.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End5.5