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Red6
68739.6
28951.2
8067.5
Blue64
341924.7
873915.6
66369.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23290406080100120140160664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6873
#31
9.61.8
7.86.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End0.6
blue by 15.0
3419
#12
24.73.7
10.013.7
Auto5.8
Teleop16.1
End2.8
Second
806
#19
7.51.3
5.54.2
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End4.8
blue by 8.1
15.62.7
7.910.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.6
End3.3
Third
2895
#48
1.21.8
8.76.9
Auto0.4
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
blue by 8.1
6636
#33DQ
9.23.7
8.812.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed