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Red16
3353.9
51235.1
58066.4
Blue49
859711.2
260126.1
8067.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183304060801001649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5806
#28
6.41.6
7.25.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End1.5
blue by 19.7
26.11.1
19.320.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End11.2
Second
5123
#41
5.11.6
6.34.7
Auto2.7
Teleop0.8
End1.6
blue by 6.0
8597
#24
11.21.8
5.67.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End3.1
Third
335
#47
3.91.6
5.33.7
Auto0.8
Teleop1.2
End2.0
blue by 3.6
806
#19
7.51.2
4.25.4
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsEarned