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Red53
691114.4
76688.3
179643.0
Blue30
3353.9
40124.6
402727.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582602040801005330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.2
32.833.0
Auto13.6
Teleop23.3
End6.0
red by 15.7
27.30.1
20.720.8
Auto8.5
Teleop12.9
End5.8
Second
6911
#13
14.40.2
10.710.9
Auto6.5
Teleop2.8
End5.1
red by 9.8
4012
#42
4.60.1
4.44.6
Auto1.8
Teleop3.8
End-1.0
Third
7668
#21
8.30.3
6.87.1
Auto3.4
Teleop0.5
End4.5
red by 4.4
335
#47
3.90.1
3.73.8
Auto0.8
Teleop1.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed