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Red58
529815.4
2032.5
72727.8
Blue12
39513.8
16016.4
40124.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49250204060801005812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#3
32.50.6
22.923.5
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End8.2
red by 18.6
395
#17
13.81.6
9.37.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Second
5298
#11
15.40.6
11.512.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End1.8
red by 9.0
1601
#46
6.41.6
9.37.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Third
7272
#26
7.80.8
8.59.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End-0.2
red by 3.1
4012
#42
4.61.6
8.16.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.8
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed