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Red36
77305.9
37603.8
395028.2
Blue15
68809.8
429910.3
28951.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33331020304050603615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.3
23.023.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End8.6
red by 17.9
4299
#29
10.33.1
11.98.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Second
7730
#38
5.90.6
6.06.6
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.6
End4.2
blue by 3.9
6880
#16
9.83.1
12.59.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End2.0
Third
3760
#43DQ
3.80.6
1.92.4
Auto0.6
Teleop2.4
End0.8
red by 2.6
2895
#48
1.23.1
6.93.8
Auto0.4
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed