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Red36
66369.2
33319.2
36910.8
Blue38
45719.0
395028.2
3347.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3938323436404244463638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#4
19.20.3
18.918.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End10.6
blue by 9.0
28.20.1
23.323.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End8.6
Second
369
#39
10.80.5
7.36.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End5.5
red by 1.7
4571
#10
9.00.2
9.49.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Third
6636
#33DQ
9.20.5
10.19.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.9
End2.1
red by 2.3
334
#37
7.00.2
3.33.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed