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Red34
429910.3
691114.4
3353.9
Blue47
26324.9
69697.4
58066.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443060801003447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#13
14.40.4
10.510.8
Auto6.5
Teleop2.8
End5.1
blue by 10.5
263
#14
24.90.3
26.126.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End11.0
Second
4299
#29
10.30.6
8.79.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.0
End1.7
red by 3.0
6969
#44
7.40.3
6.77.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Third
335
#47
3.90.6
5.46.0
Auto0.8
Teleop1.2
End2.0
blue by 2.5
5806
#28
6.40.6
5.05.6
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed