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Red46
68809.8
3347.0
640114.9
Blue63
412219.1
691114.4
39513.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264402060801001204663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6401
#15
14.91.3
13.114.3
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 4.2
19.11.3
17.418.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End4.8
Second
6880
#16
9.81.8
8.710.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End2.0
blue by 4.6
6911
#13
14.41.3
13.114.5
Auto6.5
Teleop2.8
End5.1
Third
334
#37
7.01.8
5.27.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 6.8
395
#17
13.81.9
8.710.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed