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Red16
58066.4
3347.0
32046.2
Blue2
51235.1
37603.8
30176.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2827010204050162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
334
#37
7.02.0
9.17.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.0
End1.2
red by 0.3
3017
#34
6.72.6
8.35.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End-0.5
Second
5806
#28
6.42.0
9.27.2
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End1.5
red by 1.3
5123
#41
5.12.6
8.96.3
Auto2.7
Teleop0.8
End1.6
Third
3204
#27
6.22.0
8.16.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End1.1
red by 2.4
3760
#43
3.82.6
8.15.5
Auto0.6
Teleop2.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed