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Red74
301525.9
69428.8
379911.4
Blue46
319316.9
332422.1
300320.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67644050607080907446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
28.80.3
27.527.8
Auto9.9
Teleop12.4
End6.4
red by 6.7
3324
#10
22.10.4
22.522.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End6.7
Second
25.90.3
24.624.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.4
End7.8
red by 5.6
3003
#19
20.30.4
20.720.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End7.7
Third
3799
#29
11.40.3
10.110.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End3.0
blue by 5.5
3193
#14
16.90.4
17.316.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End8.0