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Red32
222820.3
217213.3
319316.9
Blue42
493015.5
6318.3
140517.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4139102030506070803242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2228
#13
20.30.7
16.115.4
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End4.8
red by 2.1
63
#12
18.30.2
11.311.4
Auto6.4
Teleop2.5
End9.3
Second
3193
#14
16.90.7
11.010.3
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End8.0
blue by 0.6
1405
#20
17.50.2
13.413.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
Third
2172
#21
13.30.7
11.210.5
Auto4.7
Teleop0.4
End8.2
blue by 2.2
4930
#26
15.50.2
12.012.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed