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Red48
409315.1
301525.9
395111.1
Blue42
383816.8
6318.3
642113.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514102060801001201404842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.3
22.422.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.4
End7.8
red by 7.6
63
#12
18.30.3
11.411.7
Auto6.4
Teleop2.5
End9.3
Second
4093
#16
15.10.3
13.112.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
blue by 1.7
3838
#31
16.80.3
14.114.4
Auto6.1
Teleop4.8
End5.9
Third
3951
#28
11.10.3
11.411.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.8
blue by 2.6
6421
#23
13.70.3
14.014.3
Auto6.7
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned