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Red42
300320.3
493015.5
112613.4
Blue90
155917.6
301525.9
178734.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34460204060804290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#19
20.30.9
12.313.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End7.7
blue by 13.8
34.14.9
15.019.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End12.2
Second
4930
#26
15.50.9
11.112.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 10.3
25.94.9
13.318.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.4
End7.8
Third
1126
#33
13.40.9
10.511.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.7
End4.8
blue by 4.2
1559
#30
17.64.9
13.618.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned