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Red78
69428.8
19112.5
6318.3
Blue57
686815.3
159116.5
383816.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54392060807857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
28.83.3
20.924.1
Auto9.9
Teleop12.4
End6.4
red by 12.0
3838
#31
16.81.1
14.415.5
Auto6.1
Teleop4.8
End5.9
Second
63
#12
18.33.3
11.715.0
Auto6.4
Teleop2.5
End9.3
red by 1.8
1591
#11
16.51.1
11.813.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Third
191
#25
12.53.3
16.019.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.5
blue by 2.8
6868
#32
15.31.1
12.613.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsMissed