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Red51
493015.5
34028.0
379911.4
Blue71
332422.1
642113.7
23408.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5242102030607080905171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
28.00.1
21.421.3
Auto8.9
Teleop11.1
End8.0
red by 6.0
3324
#10
22.12.5
16.218.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End6.7
Second
4930
#26
15.50.1
15.415.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 1.9
6421
#23
13.72.5
14.316.7
Auto6.7
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Third
3799
#29
11.40.1
11.010.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End3.0
red by 2.9
2340
#34
8.52.5
10.512.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsEarned