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Red81
222820.3
790314.4
301525.9
Blue47
150722.9
379911.4
317315.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53422060801008147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.93.6
23.126.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.4
End7.8
red by 3.0
1507
#18
22.90.6
15.416.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.2
End5.5
Second
2228
#13
20.33.6
15.018.6
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End4.8
red by 5.1
3173
#24
15.20.6
14.815.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End8.2
Third
7903
#27
14.43.6
10.614.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End5.8
red by 3.0
3799
#29
11.40.6
10.911.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned