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Red40
151812.6
155917.6
19112.5
Blue55
493015.5
319316.9
409315.1
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4948304060704055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#30
17.60.5
16.716.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End7.5
red by 0.7
3193
#14
16.91.0
16.217.2
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End8.0
Second
1518
#17
12.60.6
13.212.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End5.6
blue by 3.0
4930
#26
15.51.0
16.317.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
191
#25
12.50.5
15.915.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.5
blue by 2.5
4093
#16
15.11.0
12.413.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed56%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsMissed