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Red49
5789.3
6318.3
4818.0
Blue64
642113.7
790314.4
151120.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495030406070804964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63
#12
18.30.2
17.517.3
Auto6.4
Teleop2.5
End9.3
blue by 1.9
20.21.9
17.219.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End5.9
Second
48
#22
18.00.2
18.318.2
Auto6.1
Teleop8.5
End3.4
red by 3.6
7903
#27
14.41.9
14.216.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End5.8
Third
578
#36
9.30.2
10.810.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End0.5
blue by 4.4
6421
#23
13.71.9
15.217.1
Auto6.7
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsEarned